Analytics 2016
Historical future of the president

Historical future of the president

2016 May 11 ( Friday )  14:20:31

The speech of President of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev at the official reception on the occasion of the 93rd anniversary of national leader Heydar Aliyev's birthday and the 71st anniversary of the Victory over fascism was not adequate to historical past or the present.

All historical examples were exaggerated, and thus lost their importance even in the realities of those days, whether it is the role of Azerbaijan in World War the Second, or the role of Heydar Aliyev in Azerbaijan's history, the current state of the country, its society, economy and army. It was not quite clear whether the president really believed in the tenets disclosed by them, whether he deliberately exaggerated the significance of the events and personalities in an attempt to give them a more sublime meaning and sense.

Baku oil and the Azerbaijani cannon fodder of the Second World an integral part of the Soviet system, the state and to consider it in isolation from the historical reality from the perspective of an independent Azerbaijan is fundamentally not true. With all respect to Heydar Aliyev, it was not write to say such things as the salvation of Azerbaijan from chaos in 1969, or leaving the Communist Party in 1990, as well as about other events of the past. In this regard, a logical question can be asked why the president did not mention self-sacrifice of leaders of the national liberation movement of the late eighties, their historical role for the withdrawal of the Russian army from Azerbaijan in 1993, or the betrayal of the Party-Komsomol nomenclature surrounding the head of state today. The President also spoke of the unity of civil society, not noticing that the civil society has never been  so disunited by prison bars, and  has been driven to the back of the political life  under
"History is the politics of the past, and politics is the history of the present".Edward Freeman
continues pressure of the state.

Economic prosperity and social well-being,  about which the president told, exists only in devalued figures and have nothing to do with the reality in a country where 90 percent of the population, according to the governments, are poor. This figure, of course, requires answers to questions from citizens who have suffered financial and moral losses in the last year as a result of short-sighted and misguided policies, and nobody wants to recognize its failures on holidays and weekdays. The president does not want or does not see the realities, underlined by the fallen figures, even smoothed by the official statistics. He continues to insist that in the country after two waves of devaluation, when incomes fell dramatically, and prices have increased proportionately, all is well and steadily, as in previous years of the gratis petrodollars.

A local success of the Azerbaijani army in Karabakh mentioned by the president can be called a spoon of honey in a barrel of tar. But he was only a harbinger of some big events in the region and in the country with unclear consequences for all. And the whole problem is that historical retrospective presented by Aliyev does not give a vision of historical perspective. History is the key to the future, which can be both positive and negative. Everything just depends on the past on which  base the leaders who take a historical decision. Invalid historical interpretation, even from good intentions, can cause irreparable and fatal errors in moving toward the future. In this case, it would be good to turn to paraphrase the maxim of the famous British historian of the 19th century, Edward Freeman, "History  is the policy of the past, without which it is impossible to understand the politics of the present."


Turan Analytical Service



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